Twelve
Angry Men? Think Again
by Joseph A. Rice, Ph.D.
In a legal system starring a
"jury of one's peers," it's vital to understand how a dozen citizens
will perceive your case.
Imagine the scene: a claim for
constructive discharge. The plaintiff demands $120,000, the school
district offers $25,000 and the jury awards $450,000 in damages. What
happened? Obviously both sides failed to recognize the emotional and
potentially explosive issues of the case as perceived by the JURY.
Unfortunately, this is not an unusual outcome. Every day juries across
America are evaluating liability and damages in ways that make risk
managers cringe.
The principal issue is that
ultimately every lawsuit has the potential to wind up before a jury.
Jurors are, in effect, the consumers of the "product", and their views
of the issues in a case often differ dramatically from those of risk
managers, attorneys and experts. As a result, it is important to
evaluate all files anticipating that a jury will make the final
decision regarding liability and damages.
Recent advances in social
science research have played a significant role in the evaluation,
strategy planning, and ultimate outcome of large numbers of lawsuits.
It should be no surprise that the Menedez brothers, William Kennedy
Smith, the Rodney King trials and other high profile cases have
utilized social scientists to help in the evaluation of evidence, the
preparation of case themes, and ultimately selection of a jury. It may
be surprising to learn that countless cases, involving relatively
minor damages, are also utilizing many of these research tools to
reach effective resolutions. Cities, counties, school districts, and
community hospitals are now enlisting the aid of social scientists to
appropriately evaluate, settle or try disputes.
Witness Preparation
Many cases come down to the
actions of one or two key parties who were at the scene at the time of
the accident or injury. The testimony of these individuals will make
or break the case. Unfortunately, few people are hired for their poise
during deposition and trial. Trial testimony is neither listed on the
job description nor considered during the job applicant's interview.
Yet in today's legal environment, there is an increasing probability
that an employee may be required to participate in a deposition, and
testify at trial. As a result, it is critical that key witnesses be
adequately prepared before deposition.
Witness preparation involves
the participation of the witness and trial counsel. A simulated direct
and cross examination should be video-taped and reviewed with the
witness. Research clearly demonstrates that we learn best by observing
ourselves, and videotape is a harsh, but effective, means to judge
one's performance. Following the review of the videotape, the witness
and attorney should repeat the same content area and re-tape the
direct and cross examination. This allows the witness to focus on the
issue of presentation and improve the delivery of information to the
audience, the jury.
Research demonstrates that
spaced practice is better than massed practice. That is, it is more
effective to divide witness preparation time over several sessions, as
opposed to a marathon session shortly before deposition or trial.
Trial consultants and communication specialists can be an effective
adjunct to this process and usually charge on an hourly basis for this
type of service.
Methods of Case Assessment
One of the principal tasks of
the risk manager is to evaluate the potential exposure of a case and
make recommendations regarding settlement or trial. Due to the
volatile nature of juries, it is valuable to bring the perspective of
the jury into the evaluation process. Many different types of research
exercises have been developed which allow the risk manager to assess
the relative strengths and weaknesses of the case and to make valid
predictions about potential outcome.
Informal Discussion Groups
The are now many different
formats available to risk managers depending upon the complexity of
the case and the potential exposure. The easiest and least costly
method available to a risk manager is to hold informal discussion
groups with neighbors and friends who are not risk managers or
attorneys. The risk manager should review the elements of the case
and elicit "jurors" reactions' and thoughts. It is particularly
important to assess common life experiences or analogies which these
"jurors" offer that can be used in the real trial to summarize the
case. In reality, most cases are foreign to jurors and they struggle
to understand the issues based upon their own life experiences. In
fact, research demonstrates that 50% of the time jurors spend in the
deliberation room, they are talking about themselves. As a result,
it is particularly powerful for the trial attorney to present the
case using analogies and examples generated by such a discussion
group.
Focus Groups
A more formal technique is to
enlist the aid of a research firm which is familiar with the
demographic characteristics of your jurisdiction. The firm can
recruit, screen and select 12 or more community residents to
participate in a discussion group about your case. These individuals
assist you in identifying effective themes, preparing witnesses,
developing effective demonstrative evidence and predicting potential
outcome. These discussion groups, or focus groups, have had a
dramatic impact on the course and scope of litigation. Experience
demonstrates that focus group exercises can actually reduce the
scope of discovery and allow the trial team to focus valuable energy
and financial resources on only those issues and witnesses that
jurors need in order to reach their decision.
Mock Trials
The most formal methodology
available is referred to as a mock trial. As its name suggests, it
involves that staging of a mini-trial, usually one day in length, to
a panel of community residents who deliberate the case. The
methodology allows you and your legal counsel to directly test your
best case against the plaintiff's best case. The deliberation
process is observed and videotaped, allowing the trial team to
analyze the issues which were utilized to render a verdict. The
results of mock trial exercises which follow certain research
guidelines correlated remarkably with the outcome of the actual
trial, allowing you to predict the potential exposure or outcome
associated with the case. On many occasions public agencies have
utilized the results of a mock trial exercise to justify a
settlement which results in a saving of defense costs, as well as
the award.
The Audience
In today's economic and
political climate, many agencies are unable to settle significant
claims, and the case must be decided by a jury. Recent surveys
demonstrate that community residents typically hold strong beliefs
about governmental agencies which may be detrimental to your position
in the case. In these instances, your success is directly tied to the
biases of the decision makers. It is not so much what you say, but who
you say it to that counts. In this circumstance, jury selection may be
the deciding factor in the outcome of the case. Survey research
techniques have been demonstrated to be particularly powerful in
assisting the trial team to identify pro-plaintiff and pro-defense
jurors. The usual methodology involves a telephone survey of 300 to
500 community residents who listen to a summary of the case and render
a verdict. The participants also provide a significant amount of
demographic information about themselves, which allows researchers to
correlate the demographic and attitudinal variables with the verdicts.
A statistical profile of pro-plaintiff and pro-defense jurors can then
be developed. These profiles establish the worst and best potential
outcome of the case. Due to the large sampling associated with this
process, it has the highest level of predictive validity and is an
extremely powerful tool for use in settlement and at trial.
Summary
While these and other
techniques have been developed and tested on some of the most visible
litigation in America, they have an important role in almost all
cases. During the past eight years, many agencies within California
and other states, have reaped tremendous savings by investing in these
tools. In fact, the Board of Supervisors in one county in California
now request the results of mock trials and surveys before they
authorize a settlement or decision to go to trial. It is clear that in
today's high stakes litigation, accurate decisions require data and an
appreciation of the "consumer." The painful reality is that juries
disregard the law, or interpret the law in such a way as to meet
personal goals. For example, in a recent mock trial, after the jury
had found unanimously that a roadway was not in a dangerous condition,
and the county was not liable, a juror turned to the foreman and said,
"I know they were not negligent, but can't we give her something
anyway?" In this juror's mind, the injured plaintiff should be able to
collect something from somebody. It is the well meaning intentions of
jurors, such as this one, which lead to significant verdicts found
against parties who were not negligent. Only by carefully assessing
your case, and thoughtfully selecting your audience, can you
anticipate and control the aberrant verdict.